A country's AI power is actually limited by the 'glue' holding the chips together, not the chips themselves.
Practical Magic ssrn | Mar 19
Hooking national power grids together actually makes electricity markets less flexible and more prone to price jumps.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 19
The 2020 financial meltdown was caused by a banking crisis that started before COVID even hit.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 19
Courts say parents lose the right to their baby's blood privacy once the state takes it for medical tests.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 19
Free government health insurance for India's poor actually caused their medical spending and financial risk to go up by 44%.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 19
Adding more backup suppliers can actually make a supply chain collapse even faster when a crisis hits.
Nature Is Weird ssrn | Mar 19
Despite all the AI hype, over 80% of companies say the tech hasn't improved their productivity at all.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 19
AI chatbots are turning into autonomous 'radicalization rooms' that can change their pitch in real-time to trick someone.
Nature Is Weird ssrn | Mar 19
Global AI rules don't really work; countries only pass tough laws based on their own internal history, not global peer pressure.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 19
Big child subsidies don't actually increase the birth rate; they just tempt families to move from the next town over.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 19
The riskier a startup is, the faster it should have to start making a profit and paying people back.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 19
The AI software prosecutors use is basically rigged to hide evidence that could prove a defendant is innocent.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 19
Cutting off foreign aid can actually make citizens demand higher taxes and more government control at home.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 19
You can get drivers to change their habits way faster if you charge them for 'safety' instead of 'traffic.'
Practical Magic ssrn | Mar 19
Modern inequality is being driven by land becoming scarce again, just like in the 1800s, not by robots.
Cosmic Scale ssrn | Mar 19
Just announcing a financial safety net makes banks start taking huge risks before they even get a dime.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 19
Making AI more accurate can actually make the workload way harder for the humans using it.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 19
The most effective way to fix elderly care is to stop micromanaging caregivers and just pay them if the patient stays alive.
Practical Magic ssrn | Mar 19
Switching to biodegradable plastics can actually leak more toxic heavy metals into the soil than using old-school plastic.
Nature Is Weird ssrn | Mar 19
Trading with other countries only prevents war up to a point; once you trade too much, conflict actually becomes more likely.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 19
The future economy might not be built on humans or companies, but on single AI 'agents' with their own cash and legal status.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 19
Banks run by CEOs who have actually seen a bank fail are way more stable and profitable than those run by rookies.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 19
The 'Whales' betting millions on prediction markets are actually the worst traders and lose money to the small players.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 19
AI shows huge gains in labs, but a study of 25,000 real workers found it has almost zero effect on their actual output.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 19
Global AI rules are built on a 'myth of transparency' even though making AI truly transparent is technically impossible.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 19
National GDP is basically a myth; the real economy is just a giant web of cities that grow together regardless of borders.
Paradigm Challenge arxiv | Mar 18
The gender pay gap basically vanishes the second you tell women exactly what the men in the office are making.
Practical Magic ssrn | Mar 18
Fixing the economy won't kill off populism once people have already fallen into a "low-trust trap."
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
We should probably let kids buy beer before hard liquor and practice driving with a pro before giving them a full license.
Practical Magic ssrn | Mar 18
Companies with diverse bosses have way fewer accidents, but they’re actually a bit less productive.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Weirdly enough, sponsoring a winning football team hurts a company’s stock price more than sponsoring a team that just ties.
Nature Is Weird ssrn | Mar 18
The entire global banking system is currently dependent on us keeping our fossil fuel habit.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Generative AI is finally helping us build those crazy, original ideas that used to be impossible to actually make.
Practical Magic ssrn | Mar 18
Obsessive recycling and "circular" goals are actually making it 17% more expensive to hit our climate targets.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
When the U.S. blocks tech trade with China, our own economy actually takes a bigger punch than theirs does.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Those "toxic" oil cleanup chemicals actually help coastal forests survive way better than if we just left the oil alone.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Despite all the panic, oil price spikes haven't actually slowed down U.S. growth once in the last 120 years.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
When the economy gets shaky and companies slow down, stock analysts actually start lying to themselves and making even wilder predictions.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
People will happily take way less interest on their money if you can just prove it isn't fake.
Practical Magic ssrn | Mar 18
Nonverbal charisma is basically a myth—we just think speakers are successful because they're good-looking.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
The AI revolution isn't killing the planet; it's actually forcing us to dump way more money into renewable energy.
Practical Magic ssrn | Mar 18
Traditional "competitors" in the same industry are usually just helping each other grow, rather than stealing each other’s business.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Foreign allies actually love it when a leader talks tough and makes threats, even if it scares the voters at home.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
The #1 rule in corporate finance—that you should ignore "earnings per share"—is actually flat-out wrong.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
The rules meant to keep trading safe are actually just giving traders new ways to legally rig the game.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
India’s bankruptcy courts aren't just random luck; you can predict what happens 72% of the time based on the data.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Using carbon capture to help pump more oil actually makes a country's total pollution go up in the long run.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Making companies report their "green" and social stats actually stops bosses from handing shady deals to their relatives.
Practical Magic ssrn | Mar 18
U.S. gun laws basically ignore what people want, even when 90% of voters agree on things like background checks.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
The United States has built a massive "secret" stash of wealth by using federal agencies to play the global markets.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
People are most likely to trust "what everyone else says" on the exact topics where the crowd is most likely to be wrong.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
The global price of your morning coffee has basically nothing to do with how many beans are actually being grown anymore.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Just reminding a kid they're "left behind" is enough to kill their dreams and career goals on the spot.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Strict zoning is what's killing cities like Detroit, even though there's no actual shortage of housing.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
In developing countries, when a woman gets a job, she feels great—but it doesn't make her husband any happier.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
People without solar panels are missing out on way more cash than they think—like, 150% more.
Practical Magic ssrn | Mar 18
We can literally "ship" the leftover heat from giant AI computers across the globe to heat our homes for free.
Cosmic Scale ssrn | Mar 18
Competing with cheap Chinese imports is actually forcing American companies to be more ethical and run a tighter ship.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
When stock analysts lose an hour of sleep to Daylight Saving, they stop thinking for themselves and just follow the crowd.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Slapping "green taxes" on polluters actually made it cheaper for them to borrow money by forcing them to get efficient.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Busing migrants to sanctuary cities worked better than any lawsuit because it basically blew up the political groups that supported those rules.
Practical Magic ssrn | Mar 18
If you look at the actual grammar of the 14th Amendment, "birthright citizenship" might not be required by the Constitution after all.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Official European data is hiding a massive "heat crisis" in places like Finland, where 15% of families can't afford to stay warm.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Investors can make way more money by ignoring what an AI says and trading based on how "confident" the AI's internal math looks.
Practical Magic ssrn | Mar 18
Unlike regular government programs that get messy as they grow, AI-run projects actually work way better the bigger they get.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
When immigrants move in, local students switch their majors and end up making way more money than they ever would have without them.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
In cultures where periods are a huge social taboo, it’s actually the men who end up doing most of the shopping for menstrual products.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
If a company sponsors a football team, their stock price jumps on game day regardless of whether the team wins or loses.
Practical Magic ssrn | Mar 18
Watching financial news on TV actually helps regular people trade like pros instead of just following the latest hype.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
India has likely been faking its economic growth numbers for 20 years, hiding a massive slowdown behind bad data.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
We think flu shots work great globally, but that's an illusion—almost all the data comes from wealthy countries.
Cosmic Scale ssrn | Mar 18
Giving financial support to widows can actually make their health worse in the short term.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
AI is already shrinking the slice of the pie workers get, even in industries where pay is actually going up.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Giant tech companies actually win when their users start using their competitors’ services too.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Empowering women can actually lead to a temporary spike in fights and violence at home.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
In China, market predictions of economic disaster have zero power to actually predict what’s going to happen.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Physical robots are way better for productivity than AI, but AI is way worse for how much of the paycheck actually goes to the worker.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
If an AI shopping bot asks you a few smart questions, it's way better than showing you a million products you don't want.
Practical Magic ssrn | Mar 18
The U.S. government is basically running a "command economy" in tech now, taking stakes in companies and demanding a cut of the profits.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Gas taxes stop working once a country gets rich enough—eventually, people just keep polluting no matter the cost.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Just teaming up with a college makes a company's stock easier to sell because investors love that "academic halo."
Nature Is Weird ssrn | Mar 18
If you had a teacher who handed out "easy As," you're probably making significantly less money right now.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Growing up in a neighborhood with lots of immigrants actually makes people more likely to be anti-immigrant when they grow up.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Those brutal "stress tests" for big banks actually helped local businesses and families grow way faster.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
If you offer cash for the "best" content, people will just start aggressively sabotaging everyone else with downvotes.
Practical Magic ssrn | Mar 18
Big oil companies are dumping their old wells onto tiny firms just to dodge billions in cleanup costs.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Large companies aren't actually more innovative; they just wait until a small inventor has a winner and buy it right before the patent hits.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Most baby doctors now think we should deliver some babies early just so we can start life-saving gene therapy immediately.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
In most places, people aren't buying brand new electric cars—the "green revolution" is actually just a wave of used EVs from other cities.
Practical Magic ssrn | Mar 18
The pay gap between AI scientists in tech vs. colleges has exploded—industry stars now make $1.5 million more every single year.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Getting a government tax subsidy can actually make it more expensive for a company to get a loan from a regular bank.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
There is way less plastic being dumped into the ocean by rivers than we thought—like, 98% less.
Nature Is Weird ssrn | Mar 18
If a robot takes your job, your pay eventually bounces back; if AI takes it, you’re looking at a permanent financial slump.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Giving poor kids priority at elite public schools fixes segregation without causing the "rich flight" that school boards panic about.
Practical Magic ssrn | Mar 18
Companies obsessing over the "long term" can be just as toxic to their value as the ones only looking at next week.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Working from home might be the most effective way to get people to actually have kids in the modern world.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Who your governor is actually accounts for about 5% of how well your state's entire economy is doing.
Practical Magic ssrn | Mar 18
Giving cash to families with disabled kids often fails because the real bottleneck is the parents stopping working together.
Paradigm Challenge ssrn | Mar 18
Companies decide exactly how they're going to cheat on their taxes based on how complicated their products are.
Practical Magic ssrn | Mar 18