economics Paradigm Challenge

Electing female mayors significantly shifts political patronage and 'kickback' jobs toward women rather than men.

April 1, 2026

Original Paper

Female Leadership and the Market for Representation

Caíque Melo

SSRN · 6504455

The Takeaway

In Brazil, when a woman wins a close election, female campaign donors are 27% more likely to land a government job than they would be under a male mayor. This suggests that female representation doesn't just change policy; it fundamentally redirects the entire 'spoils system' of political networking to favor women for high-ranking bureaucratic roles.

From the abstract

This paper estimates the causal effect of electing a female mayor on the gender composition of discretionary bureaucratic appointments within political donor networks. I study close mayoral elections in Brazil between female and male candidates and link electoral outcomes to individual-level campaign donation records and administrative employment data covering the universe of formal public-sector jobs. When a female candidate narrowly wins, campaign donors become more likely to enter municipal p