AI & ML Paradigm Shift

Introduces Bayesian scattering as a mathematically grounded, non-learned baseline for image uncertainty quantification.

March 24, 2026

Original Paper

Bayesian Scattering: A Principled Baseline for Uncertainty on Image Data

Bernardo Fichera, Zarko Ivkovic, Kjell Jorner, Philipp Hennig, Viacheslav Borovitskiy

arXiv · 2603.20908

The Takeaway

Provides a 'Bayesian Linear Regression' equivalent for image data, using fixed wavelet transforms to avoid the overfitting inherent in deep learning uncertainty methods. It offers a much-needed, interpretable benchmark for reliability in high-stakes domains like medical imaging.

From the abstract

Uncertainty quantification for image data is dominated by complex deep learning methods, yet the field lacks an interpretable, mathematically grounded baseline. We propose Bayesian scattering to fill this gap, serving as a first-step baseline akin to the role of Bayesian linear regression for tabular data. Our method couples the wavelet scattering transform-a deep, non-learned feature extractor-with a simple probabilistic head. Because scattering features are derived from geometric principles ra