economics Nature Is Weird

Heavy option trading creates a feedback loop that forces market makers to buy high and sell low, turning stable markets unstable.

April 1, 2026

Original Paper

Market Instability from Option Flows

Ivan Julio, Amir Alamir, Jose Rubio, Alexander Becker

SSRN · 6447643

The Takeaway

While we think of derivatives as following the stock market, this paper shows they can actually take the wheel. It identifies a 'Stability Gap' where speculative option flows force the middle-men of the market to amplify price swings rather than dampening them, explaining how meme-stock style spikes happen endogenously.

From the abstract

We develop a theoretical and simulation-based framework to show how speculative option trading can generate price instability in the market for the underlying asset. The model features fully funded investors with downward-sloping demand, option traders who continually reinvest their gains in leveraged call positions, and a rule-based market maker who clears both asset and option markets while remaining deltahedged. When volatility is underpriced or speculative flows are large relative to the und