economics Paradigm Challenge

Whether a small business gets a loan after an interest rate cut depends more on the owner's personal bank account than the quality of the business.

April 1, 2026

Original Paper

Business Owner Wealth and the Credit Channel of Monetary Policy

Manthos D. Delis, Annalisa Ferrando, Klaas Mulier, Steven R. G. Ongena

SSRN · 6506280

The Takeaway

Expansionary monetary policy is designed to help healthy businesses grow, but this study found it primarily boosts loan approvals for owners who are already personally wealthy. This creates a feedback loop where the credit channel of the economy mainly helps the rich build more wealth, rather than supporting the most efficient firms.

From the abstract

Using data on small business owners' private wealth, firm loan applications, and credit scores, we show that monetary policy's impact on credit access depends heavily on owner wealth. Controlling for firm quality, expansionary policy significantly boosts loan approvals for low-wealth owners, but not their high-wealth counterparts. Because securing a loan enables owners to build future wealth, this credit channel carries clear distributional consequences. Survey data from 19 euro area countries c